Finance · 08/06/2025

The Federal Reserve is set to announce its interest rate decision and economic forecast on Thursday. Maintaining the current policy is nearly a consensus, with the focus on future interest rate trends, employment data, and inflation risks, which will likely attract significant attention from investors and potentially cause market volatility.

Finance · 08/06/2025

The U.S. stock market faces recession risks due to weak employment data and the dual impact of Trump's foreign policy. The consecutive declines in the Dow Jones index reflect investors' anxiety about the economic future. Additionally, the new Federal Reserve policies and the strained U.S.-Russia relations may also influence market trends.

Finance · 07/18/2025

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet is a crucial tool for its monetary policy, covering its asset and liability structure. This report demonstrates its significant impact on the market economy, particularly after the financial crisis when quantitative easing policies led to a substantial increase in asset balances, reaching $4.5 trillion. Analyzing the balance sheet can aid in predicting the Federal Reserve's policy direction and market trends, especially in terms of performance variations

Finance · 07/24/2025

In its latest meeting, the Federal Reserve decided to maintain interest rates, despite adjusting its economic outlook, indicating a potential slowdown in future rate cuts. The market anticipates a short-term rebound of the dollar, while gold and silver prices experienced volatility. The Swiss National Bank may consider reinstating a zero interest rate policy.

Finance · 04/10/2025

US CPI unexpectedly slowed down in March, with core CPI also declining. Price drops in energy and used cars were the main drivers. The market anticipates a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Attention now turns to the upcoming PCE data for further insights into inflation trends and the Fed's future policy decisions.

Finance · 08/26/2025

This article delves into the key factors influencing US mortgage interest rates, including macroeconomics, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy. In the face of an uncertain market environment, potential homebuyers are advised to closely monitor economic data and policy changes, compare loan terms from different lenders, and develop a reasonable home buying budget based on their financial situation. Home buying decisions should be made cautiously, and consulting with professionals is recommended.

Job Search · 07/25/2025

The article explores the impact of AI on the labor market, indicating future changes in work and the challenges faced by job seekers.

Finance · 06/13/2025

US PPI data for May indicates that companies are absorbing some tariff costs, squeezing profit margins but benefiting consumers. A weakening labor market and moderating inflation have strengthened market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in September. This strategy of companies absorbing costs may not be sustainable in the long run. Future price trends and the direction of Fed policy warrant close attention.

Finance · 07/22/2025

This paper examines the driving factors behind the changes in the Federal Reserve's neutral interest rate and the potential future scenarios. It emphasizes the dynamic nature of market assessments and economic trends.

Finance · 08/06/2025

Goldman Sachs has updated its monetary policy outlook for 2025, eliminating the forecast for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in January, expecting a terminal rate of 3.5%-3.75%. There is uncertainty regarding the pace of future rate cuts and the terminal rate. Rate cuts are also expected from the European Central Bank and the Bank of England, especially as inflation risks diminish in Japan. The global economy is anticipated to return to moderate inflation, with developed countries generally facing low inflation challenges.

Finance · 08/06/2025

Trump's strong return to the presidency will impact global central banks' interest rate strategies. His tariff policies may lead to a slowdown in the global economy and accelerate inflation in the U.S., making the Federal Reserve more cautious about rate cuts. Meanwhile, emerging markets may face unique challenges and opportunities.

Finance · 08/06/2025

A Goldman Sachs report indicates that the market is experiencing a 'golden-haired girl' trend driven by dovish expectations from the Federal Reserve, reduced geopolitical risks, and progress in trade negotiations. The economic growth is moderate with low inflation pressures, creating a favorable environment for the recovery of risk assets.

Finance · 03/13/2025

The US CPI unexpectedly fell to 2.8%, with the weakened inflation possibly prompting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates, leading to a stock market rebound. However, the unpredictability of Trump’s policies and potential threats of economic recession keep investors wary of market uncertainties. Furthermore, the high valuation of US stocks raises concerns about long-term growth, necessitating a cautious approach.

Finance · 08/06/2025

U.S. stocks have suffered significant declines due to weak economic data, with strong market reactions to Trump's proposals on strengthening military policies and cutting interest rates. The Dow Jones index has experienced consecutive drops, shaking investors' confidence in the economic outlook. Amid the influence of Federal Reserve policies and escalating tensions between the U.S. and Russia, market sentiment has become increasingly complex.

Finance · 05/07/2025

Goldman Sachs predicts the Federal Reserve will hold rates steady in May but may cut rates in July due to tariff impacts. The Fed's threshold for rate cuts is high, requiring clear evidence of economic slowdown. The impact of tariffs on the job market could be crucial. Investors should pay close attention to summer economic data and adjust their investment strategies accordingly.